Legend on the Field

Analysis for Legend on the Field: city-skin scenarios, expected loot, and value vs. baseline.

Disclaimer:Jackpot prizes are excluded because their low odds would distort expected value for most players.

ACTIVE

Analysis to get the skin

Path to 12,500 points
Target points12,500
Total hits required6,250
Expected Football Kicks5,107
Expected total Footballs required102,141
Free Footballs available27,000
Additional Footballs required75,160
Kicks and ScoresExpectedShare
Conekeeper Kicks5,23783.8%
Conekeeper Score5829.3%
Doomkeeper Kicks4316.9%
Total6,250100.0%

Torxim's Take

Before buying any of the big packs, I highly recommend trying to figure out how many speedups you're planning/willing to spend on the namecard event and SvS prep; it can massively change how many packs you need to buy to secure the permanent city skin.

This event is a prime example of how subjective the path to the skin reward can be. That complexity gets compounded by the Football King event, where you can use Gems and Speedups while chasing the permanent namecard, and by SvS prep overlapping the last few days, including troop training day.

Use the sliders below to enter the Speedups or Gems you already plan to spend in Football King and SvS prep, regardless of the Penalty Win event. Footballs from those planned uses are counted as free when calculating total cost.

Strategies to get the skin!

  • Tap a scenario to view its pack mix and compare expected loot below. All scenarios reach the 12,500-point city-skin target.
  • The Speedups (need to use) column shows how many days of speedups you would need to use for enough Footballs to hit 12,500 points, on top of the Footballs from the listed packs.
Footballs from Gems + Speeds0
Packs PurchaseTotal CostPaid FootballsFootball ShortfallSpeedups (d)(need to use)Reward Value(table below)Main Reward Value DriversVs Total Cost(packs + adtl. speeds)Vs Pack Cost(packs only)
Lucky Hero Gear ChestFire CrystalsGems1h Gen Speeds
Packs 1-5$859,80065,360544.7$235.43733(39%)900(18%)257,101(19%)302(8%)28%$855.55 actual277%$85 pack
Packs 1-6$18518,00057,160476.3$399.841,533(47%)1,860(22%)307,101(14%)402(6%)47%$858.87 actual216%$185 pack
Packs 1-7.1$28538,00037,160309.7$510.602,073(50%)1,860(17%)357,101(12%)902(10%)71%$723.09 actual179%$285 pack
Packs 1-7.2$38558,00017,160143$621.352,613(52%)1,860(14%)407,101(12%)1,402(13%)106%$587.30 actual161%$385 pack
Packs 1-7.3$48578,00000$732.103,153(53%)1,860(12%)457,101(11%)1,902(15%)151%$485.00 actual151%$485 pack

Expected Rewards

Showing modeled Kick EV plus the selected pack scenario from Strategies. Total loot and baseline value update with your selection.

ItemKick EVPacks 1-7.1Total QuantityBaseline Value
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
652,0082,073$256.56
Chief Stamina
1570157$8.37
Gems
214,601142,500357,101$63.50
5,000 Hero XP
8900890$0.00
1h Construction Speedup
1000100$5.89
1h Research Speedup
1000100$5.89
1h Training Speedup
1000100$5.89
Chief Gear Materials Chest
20020$2.48
Random Chief Charm Material Chest
20020$3.22
Essence Stones
20020$2.48
1h General Speedup
202700902$53.17
Fire Crystal
01,8601,860$87.30
10K Meat
03,5003,500$0.49
10K Wood
03,5003,500$0.49
10K Coal
0700700$0.49
10K Iron
0175175$0.49
100K Meat
02,5002,500$3.47
100K Wood
02,5002,500$3.47
100K Coal
0500500$3.47
100K Iron
0125125$3.47
Scenario Total Value$510.60

Sports Field Glory

Sports Field Glory Pack 1

FREE
ItemQtyValue
Gem
500$0.09
Football
100$0.00
Gold Key
2$0.53
10k Meat
40$0.01
10K Wood
40$0.01
10K Coal
10$0.01
10K Iron
5$0.01
Equivalent Baseline Cost$0.65
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: FREEFREE

Sports Field Glory Pack 2

$5
ItemQtyValue
Gem
2,500$0.44
Football
1,000$0.00
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
36$4.46
Fire Crystal
60$2.82
1h General Speedup
10$0.59
Avatar Frame
1$0.00
10k Meat
500$0.07
10K Wood
500$0.07
10K Coal
100$0.07
10K Iron
25$0.07
Equivalent Baseline Cost$8.58
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $5172%

Sports Field Glory Pack 3

$10
ItemQtyValue
Gem
5,000$0.89
Football
1,600$0.00
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
72$8.91
Fire Crystal
114$5.35
1h General Speedup
15$0.88
Nameplate
1$0.00
10k Meat
1,000$0.14
10K Wood
1,000$0.14
10K Coal
200$0.14
10K Iron
50$0.14
Equivalent Baseline Cost$16.59
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $10166%

Sports Field Glory Pack 4

$20
ItemQtyValue
Gem
10,000$1.78
Football
2,200$0.00
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
160$19.80
Fire Crystal
216$10.14
1h General Speedup
25$1.47
10k Meat
2,000$0.28
10K Wood
2,000$0.28
10K Coal
400$0.28
10K Iron
100$0.28
Equivalent Baseline Cost$34.30
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $20172%

Sports Field Glory Pack 5

$50
ItemQtyValue
Gem
25,000$4.45
Football
5,000$0.00
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
400$49.51
Fire Crystal
510$23.94
1h General Speedup
50$2.95
100k Meat
500$0.69
100K Wood
500$0.69
100K Coal
100$0.69
100K Iron
25$0.69
Equivalent Baseline Cost$83.61
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $50167%

Sports Field Glory Pack 6

$100
ItemQtyValue
Gem
50,000$8.89
Football
8,200$0.00
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
800$99.01
Fire Crystal
960$45.06
1h General Speedup
100$5.89
100k Meat
1,000$1.39
100K Wood
1,000$1.39
100K Coal
200$1.39
100K Iron
50$1.39
Equivalent Baseline Cost$164.41
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $100164%

Sports Field Glory Pack 7

3x available
$100
ItemQtyValue
Gem
50,000$8.89
Football
20,000$0.00
Lucky Hero Gear Chest
540$66.83
1h General Speedup
500$29.47
100k Meat
1,000$1.39
100K Wood
1,000$1.39
100K Coal
200$1.39
100K Iron
50$1.39
Equivalent Baseline Cost$110.75
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $100111%

Goal Machine

$5
ItemQtyValue
Gem
1,300$0.23
Gold Key
3$0.80
Fire Crystal
70$3.29
1h General Speedup
20$1.18
Essence Stones
5$0.62
General Mythic Hero Shard
2$0.91
Mythic Exploration Manual
6$0.08
Mythic Exepedition Skill Manual
4$0.05
10K Hero XP
2$0.00
Equivalent Baseline Cost$7.15
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $5143%

Top Scorer

$10
ItemQtyValue
Gem
5,000$0.89
Fire Crystal
155$7.28
Essence Stones
10$1.24
Deployment Capacity Boost II
2$0.00
Troops Damage Up II
1$0.00
Troops Attack Up II
1$0.00
Troops Defense Up II
1$0.00
Troops Health Up II
1$0.00
Enemy Troops Attack Down II
1$0.00
Enemy Troops Defense Down II
1$0.00
Equivalent Baseline Cost$9.40
Value vs Cost
Pack cost: $1094%